Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Oregon O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Oregon O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| Oregon O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jordon Davison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dierre Hill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Evan Stewart: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dakorien Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dante Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dylan Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Da'Jaun Riggs: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sire Gaines: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah McClellan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Iverson Hooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maddux Madsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cameron Bates: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gatlin Bair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Juelz Goff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ben Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rasean Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kendre Harrison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinton Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Wagner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darren Morris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Austin Terry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 1% |
| O/U 66.5 | 1% |
| O/U 68.5 | 1% |
| O/U 70.5 | 1% |
| O/U 72.5 | 1% |
| Oregon O/U 37.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Oregon O/U 38.5 | 1% |
| Oregon O/U 41.5 | 1% |
| Boise State vs. Oregon | 0% |
| Spread: Oregon (-24.5) | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Oregon O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Oregon O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Oregon O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Oregon O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Oregon O/U 44.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Boise State vs. Oregon prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Boise State wins, the market will resolve to "Boise State". If Oregon wins, the market will resolve to "Oregon". If th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $617K.
Methodology
This page reviews Boise State vs. Oregon across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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