Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kentucky 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 95% |
| Kentucky O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| O/U 49.5 | 83% |
| O/U 47.5 | 81% |
| O/U 48.5 | 77% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| O/U 33.5 | 76% |
| O/U 35.5 | 76% |
| O/U 39.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| O/U 43.5 | 73% |
| O/U 51.5 | 73% |
| O/U 45.5 | 72% |
| Alabama vs. Kentucky | 69% |
| O/U 55.5 | 67% |
| Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| O/U 53.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Alabama O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelon Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Baxter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kevin Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jason Patterson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lotzeir Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| EJ Crowell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Willie Rodriguez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trae'shawn Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kenny Minchey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nic Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derek Meadows: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kenny Darby: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Martels Carter Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rico Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Prince Jean: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cederian Morgan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mikkel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Henry Boyer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ja'Kayden Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Coffman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| O/U 61.5 | 44% |
| Spread -20.5 | 41% |
| Spread -21.5 | 41% |
| Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| O/U 63.5 | 39% |
| Spread -23.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Spread -24.5 | 34% |
| Spread -12.5 | 33% |
| Spread -16.5 | 31% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| Spread -15.5 | 31% |
| Spread -11.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Spread -27.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
Market context
The Alabama vs. Kentucky prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Kentucky, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $474K.
Methodology
We track Alabama vs. Kentucky across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%230ea5e9%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%230ea5e9%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%230ea5e9%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%230ea5e9%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Alabama vs. Kentucky on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →