Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Akron 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Akron 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Akron 2H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Akron 1H O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| Akron vs. Wake Forest | 0% |
| Spread: Wake Forest (-23.5) | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| Akron O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Akron O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| Akron O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
Market context
Akron vs. Wake Forest — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 3 at 7:00PM ET: If Akron wins, the market will resolve to "Akron". If Wake Forest wins, the market will resolve to "Wake Forest". If the …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $71K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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