Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| SC Internacional O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| SC Internacional O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 16% |
| O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| SC Internacional (-1.5) | 1% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 1% |
| O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| SC Internacional (-2.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
SC Corinthians Paulista face SC Internacional in a Copa do Brasil tie on 6 August, with the market set on the various *additional* match outcomes rather than the main win/draw/lose line. A crowd-implied **16% YES** suggests traders currently see the broader “more markets” package as a low-probability basket, which is typical when the settlement depends on a less standard event tree and not a single obvious match result.
Historically, this pairing has been tight and often low-margin. FootyStats shows 14 draws in the last 26 meetings, with Corinthians winning 7 and Internacional 5, while other head-to-head datasets also point to a heavy draw frequency across a longer sample of roughly 40-plus matches. That profile matters for programmatic traders because bots and conditional orders usually price these markets off volatility in match state, not just outright team strength: a cagey first leg, a rotated line-up, or a late tactical shift can move side-markets more than the headline result.
The main catalysts are squad news, confirmed line-ups, and whether either club prioritises this cup fixture over league scheduling. For a power-user workflow, the practical checks are the official team sheets, any late injury or suspension updates, and the market’s exact settlement rules before automating entries or copy-trading signals; if the listed “more markets” bundle includes cards, corners, or aggregate-goal conditions, those dependencies can diverge sharply from the scoreline. Recent match-stat coverage on BBC Sport’s live data feed also shows these sides can produce very different possession and shot profiles in the same fixture, which is exactly the sort of variance that makes tool-assisted monitoring useful.[10]
Methodology
This page reviews SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SC Internacional - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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