Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Internacional 1 - 1 Clube do Remo | 100% |
| Any Other Score | 1% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 0 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 1 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 0 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 2 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 0 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 3 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 2 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 1 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 0 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 3 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 2 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 1 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 3 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 2 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 3 Clube do Remo | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional host Clube do Remo in a Série A fixture at Beira-Rio, with the market settled on the exact full-time score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. The current 0% yes price implies the listed scoreline is being treated as highly unlikely, which is consistent with exact-score markets where the tail is thin and most outcomes sit in the “any other score” bucket.
For programmatic trading, the useful comparison is not win probability but score-distribution shape: home favourites with a modest goal expectation tend to concentrate around 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 and 0-0, while anything outside the preset list normally dominates the residual. Internacional’s recent league and cup results show low-to-medium scoring patterns, including a 0-0 at Palmeiras and a 2-0 win over Corinthians in Copa do Brasil play, while Remo’s recent league line includes a 2-2 draw with Atlético-MG and a 0-0 against Santos, which keeps draw-heavy and one-goal outcomes relevant but still leaves exact-score pricing fragile.[9]
The main catalysts are confirmation of kickoff, any postponement, and line-up news close to start, because the market remains open if the match is delayed and resolves only when the fixture is actually completed. Schedule trackers also show both clubs with further league commitments immediately before and after this date, so rotation, travel load and any rescheduling can move the final score profile materially; automated set-ups should therefore watch fixture feeds and team-sheet updates rather than rely on the initial crowd price alone.[12][15]
Methodology
We track SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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