EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

EC Bahia hosted Associação Chapecoense de Futebol at Arena Fonte Nova on 17 July 2026 for a Brazil Série A fixture, with the match concluding before the settlement window closed. The 100% YES probability reflects the event’s completion and the resolution of all associated more markets, leaving no uncertainty for settlement.

Historically, head-to-head records between these sides show volatility: in their previous 12 meetings, Bahia won three times, Chapecoense five, and four ended in draws[4]. Such inconsistency typically keeps probabilities below certainty until post-match data confirms outcomes. The current 100% alignment suggests all conditional markets (e.g., total goals, both teams to score) have resolved definitively, a pattern seen when match results are finalised and no pending variables remain.

Traders approaching this programmatically should monitor settlement APIs for finalised market states rather than live scores, as the game has already ended. Key dependencies include official result confirmations from the Brazilian Football Confederation and updates from data feeds like FootLive, which logged the live score and result for this fixture[1]. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-17T22:30:00Z and the match completed, no further catalysts—such as injury announcements or schedule changes—apply. Copy-trading bots should flag this market as resolved and exclude it from active strategy queues.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.