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Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile

Five-platform snapshot of "Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 Winner 100% Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $198K Liquidity: $3K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 Winner100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 21.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 22.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 23.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Game Spread +/-2.5100%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile0%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 Winner0%
Bari: Max Wiskandt vs Pierluigi Basile Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of bari: max wiskandt vs pierluigi basile. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Max Wiskandt and Pierluigi Basile in the Bari, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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