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Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner 100% Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $470K Liquidity: $735K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 36.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 38.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 40.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 4 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 4 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 4 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-2.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia0%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Set 4 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 4.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: adolfo vallejo vs nicolas mejia. This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Nicolas Mejia in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo'…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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