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Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich 100% Completed Match 100% Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $205K Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich100%
Completed Match100%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 1 Winner100%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 2 Winner100%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Match O/U 21.50%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Match O/U 22.50%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Match O/U 23.50%
Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, plovdiv 3: pol martin tiffon vs juan pablo ficovich stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Pol Martin Tiffon and Juan Pablo Ficovich in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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