Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, national bank open: jiri lehecka vs vit kopriva stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Vit Kopriva in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
This page reviews National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Vit Kopriva across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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