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Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 1 Winner 100% Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $157K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 1 Winner100%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Total Sets: O/U 2.574%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Match O/U 21.574%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Match O/U 22.574%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Match O/U 23.574%
Completed Match50%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set Handicap +/-1.549%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set Handicap +/-1.549%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick25%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 2 Winner0%
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cary: timo legout vs braden shick. This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Braden Shick in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout a…

Methodology

We track Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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