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Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 1 Winner 100% Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich 76% Completed Match 50% Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 2 Winner 50% Volume: $119K Liquidity: $449K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 1 Winner100%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich76%
Completed Match50%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 2 Winner50%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 22.550%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 23.550%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 21.543%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set Handicap +/-1.510%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of augsburg: sandro kopp vs martin krumich. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Sandro Kopp and Martin Krumich in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

We track Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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