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Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar

Five-platform snapshot of "Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar 100% Completed Match 100% Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $506K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar100%
Completed Match100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Match O/U 21.5100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 2 Winner100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Match O/U 22.5100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Match O/U 23.5100%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 1 Winner0%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Zdenek Kolar in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel …

Methodology

We track Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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