Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner | 80% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 3 Winner | 75% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Game Spread +/-8.5 | 10% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open atp: zizou bergs vs carlos taberner stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Carlos Taberner in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner on Kalshi Fees
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