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San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

How the prediction-market book is pricing "San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 100% Completed Match 100% San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 Winner 100% San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $158K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes100%
Completed Match100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 Winner100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 10.50%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 22.50%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 23.50%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.50%
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Game Spread +/-4.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. This market refers to the tennis match between Nishesh Basavareddy and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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