How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The Inte… | Kalshifees 2026

Name: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Start: 2026-08-13T11:19:33.000Z
End: 2026-08-14T08:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	98%	2%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Place a position →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	98%	2%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Place a position →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Place a position →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Place a position →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Game 1 Winner	98%
Match Winner	84%
Game 2 Winner	64%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	60%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	60%
First Blood in Game 2?	52%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?	51%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	50%
First Blood in Game 1?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?	50%
O/U 2.5 Games	33%
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)	1%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 98%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Team Yandex and Team Liquid in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Alex ChenPrediction Market Analystand

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The Inter… on Kalshi Fees

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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The Inter… on Kalshi Fees

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