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Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 2 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? 96% Ends in Daytime 91% Any Player Ultra Kill 91% Volume: $844K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?96%
Ends in Daytime91%
Any Player Ultra Kill91%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?91%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?91%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?91%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Match Winner50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Ends in Daytime8%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks8%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: rune eaters vs gamerlegion (bo2) - esports world cup group a stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Rune Eaters and GamerLegion in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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