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Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ends in Daytime 100% Ends in Daytime 91% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 90% Volume: $316K Liquidity: $360K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime91%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: poor rangers vs team falcons (bo2) - esports world cup group a stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Poor Rangers and Team Falcons in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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