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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Match Winner 84% Game 1 Winner 76% Game 2 Winner 75% Any Player Rampage 58% Volume: $181K Liquidity: $471K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner84%
Game 1 Winner76%
Game 2 Winner75%
Any Player Rampage58%
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)56%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?55%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?45%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Any Player Ultra Kill38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan35%
Any Player Ultra Kill32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks29%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks29%
Any Player Rampage27%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 84% YES probability for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 2 match between Team Falcons and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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