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SC Verl vs. Hamburger SV - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "SC Verl vs. Hamburger SV - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Hamburger SV O/U 0.5 100% Hamburger SV 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $84K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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SC Verl vs. Hamburger SV - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Hamburger SV O/U 0.5100%
Hamburger SV 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.585%
Hamburger SV O/U 1.570%
O/U 2.555%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
SC Verl 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
SC Verl 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Hamburger SV 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Hamburger SV 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Hamburger SV (-1.5)49%
Both Teams to Score49%
SC Verl O/U 0.548%
Hamburger SV O/U 2.533%
O/U 3.528%
Hamburger SV (-2.5)22%
SC Verl O/U 1.513%
O/U 4.511%
O/U 5.53%
SC Verl O/U 2.52%
SC Verl (-1.5)1%
SC Verl 1st Half O/U 0.51%
SC Verl (-2.5)0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
SC Verl 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Hamburger SV 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of sc verl vs. hamburger sv - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for August 24 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track SC Verl vs. Hamburger SV - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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