Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Randers FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Randers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Randers FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Randers FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Randers FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Randers FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Randers FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Randers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Randers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Randers FC will host Silkeborg IF on 27 July 2026 in a Denmark Superliga fixture, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 ET. The "More Markets" category typically encompasses secondary betting outcomes—goal-scorer props, corner counts, card accumulations, or half-time/full-time combinations—rather than the primary match result. The 0% implied probability suggests either no secondary markets have yet been priced, or the market structure itself remains pending clarification from the host sportsbook.
Historical precedent from Superliga seasons shows that secondary markets for mid-table fixtures often remain thin until 48–72 hours before match day. Randers and Silkeborg occupy mid-table positions in the Danish top flight; neither club commands the liquidity of Copenhagen or Midtjylland. Comparable "More Markets" offerings for similar-tier matchups have typically settled with modest trading volumes, meaning spreads widen significantly as settlement approaches. Traders using conditional order logic—triggering prop bets only if primary match odds shift beyond defined thresholds—should expect execution delays if relying on automated fills.
Catalysts to monitor include team news releases and official Superliga fixture confirmations, typically published via the Danish FA's channels. Injury announcements for key players can shift expected goal totals and card distributions substantially. Traders integrating this market into algorithmic workflows should flag the settlement window closure at 17:00 ET on match day; any secondary markets tied to in-play events will require real-time data feeds to avoid settlement disputes. Cross-referencing with bookmaker APIs for correlated markets (total goals, player props) will help calibrate entry points once liquidity emerges.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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