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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 80% O/U 2.5 Games 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $135K Liquidity: $40K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.580%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Winner28%
Match Winner20%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)20%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.520%
Map 1 Winner1%
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)1%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: quazar vs the last resort (bo3) - esl challenger league europe cup #1 group b stands at 80% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between QUAZAR and The Last Resort in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B, initially scheduled for July 12 at 9:00AM ET. …

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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