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Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 50% Map 2 Winner 50% Match Winner 50% O/U 2.5 Games 50% Volume: $73K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner50%
Map 2 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to counter-strike: pain academy vs guara esports (bo3) - cct south america series 4 group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between paiN Academy and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 20 at 12:00PM ET. This market…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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