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Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 74% Map 1 Winner 62% Match Winner 55% Map 2 Winner 52% Volume: $134K Liquidity: $95K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.574%
Map 1 Winner62%
Match Winner55%
Map 2 Winner52%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs Lavked (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-6.5) vs Just Players (+6.5)38%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-9.5) vs Just Players (+9.5)38%
O/U 2.5 Games30%
Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)26%

Market context

Market consensus: 74% chance of counter-strike: lavked vs just players (bo3) - european pro league series 8 group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Lavked and Just Players in the European Pro League Series 8 Group A, initially scheduled for July 6 at 4:00AM ET. This marke…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - Europ… on Kalshi Fees

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