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Cuba vs. Bonaire - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Cuba vs. Bonaire - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Cuba (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $179K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Cuba vs. Bonaire - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cuba (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Cuba O/U 0.5100%
Cuba O/U 1.5100%
Cuba 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Cuba 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Bonaire (-1.5)0%
Cuba (-2.5)0%
Bonaire (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Cuba O/U 2.50%
Bonaire O/U 0.50%
Bonaire O/U 1.50%
Bonaire O/U 2.50%
Cuba 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Bonaire 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Bonaire 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Cuba 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Bonaire 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Bonaire 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Cuba (-3.5)0%
Bonaire (-3.5)0%
Cuba (-4.5)0%
Bonaire (-4.5)0%
Cuba (-5.5)0%
Bonaire (-5.5)0%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Cuba O/U 3.50%
Cuba O/U 4.50%
Cuba O/U 5.50%
Bonaire O/U 3.50%
Bonaire O/U 4.50%
Bonaire O/U 5.50%
Cuba 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Cuba 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Bonaire 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Bonaire 1st Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 4.50%
Cuba 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Cuba 2nd Half O/U 3.50%
Bonaire 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Bonaire 2nd Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Cuba vs. Bonaire - More Markets. More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Cuba vs. Bonaire - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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