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Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5 100% Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $866K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5100%
Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half1%
2nd Half O/U 0.51%
2nd Half O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)0%
Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)0%
Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)0%
Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 1.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 1.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 2.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Dalian Yingbo FC and Liaoning Tieren FC meet in a Chinese Super League fixture on 8 August, and the “more markets” contract is effectively a wrapper on the event’s full market set rather than a single match outcome. With the crowd-implied probability at 0% YES, the practical read for a power user is that the market is either still unseeded, awaiting liquidity, or not yet reflecting a live settlement path, so an automated workflow would first verify market status, publication time, and whether the instrument has been conditionally generated from the fixture feed.

The historical frame is narrow but useful. The sides have only a small recent head-to-head sample, and Dalian have taken the last league meeting 1-0 in April 2026, while earlier meetings produced both a Dalian win and a Liaoning win, with no draws in the cited modern set.[3][6][14] Recent form is mixed on both sides: Dalian drew 1-1 at Henan on 31 July after a 2-3 loss at Zhejiang, while Liaoning beat Shanghai 3-1 on 2 August after a 0-1 home defeat to Qingdao West Coast.[4] For a bot or copy-trading setup, that points to a market that should be watched for price movement around team news rather than treated as a one-way historical edge.

The main catalysts are the pre-match team sheets, any late injury or suspension updates, and schedule dependence if either club has congestion from domestic or cup fixtures. Liaoning’s results have been especially volatile, with several high-scoring games in the recent run, which matters for ancillary markets if the platform exposes totals, both-teams-to-score, or period-specific contracts.[4] From a programmatic angle, the useful checks are whether the match feed has locked line-ups, whether the “more markets” bundle has populated sub-markets, and whether any bookmaker or league-posted schedule change has altered the settlement window ending at 11:35 UTC.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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