Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Rice 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 80% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| O/U 26.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| O/U 28.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 14.5 | 71% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| O/U 34.5 | 67% |
| Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| O/U 38.5 | 57% |
| O/U 40.5 | 55% |
| O/U 42.5 | 54% |
| Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Rice 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| Fresno State O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 42% |
| O/U 46.5 | 41% |
| Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| Spread -15.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| O/U 50.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| Spread -10.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| Spread -18.5 | 33% |
| O/U 48.5 | 33% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| O/U 56.5 | 32% |
| O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| Rice O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Spread -11.5 | 28% |
| Spread -12.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 62.5 | 28% |
| O/U 64.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State | 26% |
| Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 54.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 19% |
| Spread -21.5 | 16% |
| Spread -24.5 | 13% |
| O/U 60.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 10% |
| Spread -27.5 | 8% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, rice vs. fresno state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Fresno State, scheduled for September 26 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $533K.
Methodology
We track Rice vs. Fresno State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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