Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 99% |
| O/U 58.5 | 99% |
| O/U 60.5 | 98% |
| O/U 66.5 | 98% |
| Spread -1.5 | 97% |
| UTSA O/U 35.5 | 97% |
| O/U 62.5 | 96% |
| O/U 64.5 | 96% |
| Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| Spread -5.5 | 95% |
| UTSA O/U 41.5 | 95% |
| O/U 68.5 | 94% |
| O/U 72.5 | 94% |
| Spread -6.5 | 93% |
| O/U 70.5 | 93% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Colorado State O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Colorado State O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -9.5 | 90% |
| Spread -10.5 | 90% |
| Spread -11.5 | 87% |
| O/U 74.5 | 87% |
| Spread -12.5 | 85% |
| Spread -13.5 | 85% |
| O/U 76.5 | 85% |
| O/U 78.5 | 80% |
| Spread -14.5 | 79% |
| Spread -16.5 | 76% |
| Spread -17.5 | 73% |
| Spread -15.5 | 68% |
| Spread -20.5 | 67% |
| Spread -18.5 | 65% |
| Spread -19.5 | 65% |
| Spread -22.5 | 58% |
| Spread -25.5 | 52% |
| Spread -26.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Colorado State vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Colorado State vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Colorado State vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State vs. UTSA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State vs. UTSA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State vs. UTSA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 46% |
| Spread -29.5 | 46% |
| Spread -32.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -4.5 | 2% |
| Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| Colorado State vs. UTSA | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The Colorado State vs. UTSA prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Colorado State and UTSA, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado State" if Colorado State win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $218K.
Methodology
We track Colorado State vs. UTSA across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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