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Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $630K Liquidity: $218K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby97%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set Handicap +/-2.569%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 3 Winner66%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 4 Winner65%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set Handicap +/-1.559%
Completed Match52%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Match O/U 36.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Total Sets: O/U 4.549%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 3 O/U 9.549%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Total Sets: O/U 3.539%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

The Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Jenson Brooksby in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' …

Methodology

This page reviews Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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