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Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod 100% Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $200K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod100%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 Winner50%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Match O/U 21.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 Winner50%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Match O/U 22.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Match O/U 23.550%
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, prague 2: max hans rehberg vs jakub nicod stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Max Hans Rehberg and Jakub Nicod in the Prague 2, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

We track Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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