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US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Match O/U 23.5 69% Volume: $209K Liquidity: $450K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Match O/U 23.569%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Match O/U 21.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 Winner50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Game Spread +/-0.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Match O/U 22.549%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set Handicap +/-1.537%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy32%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open, qualification atp: moise kouame vs nishesh basavareddy stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Nishesh Basavareddy in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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