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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton

Five-platform snapshot of "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set Handicap +/-1.5 76% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 22.5 75% Volume: $599K Liquidity: $421K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set Handicap +/-1.576%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 22.575%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 21.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 2 Winner29%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Total Sets: O/U 2.528%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 23.528%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton12%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mubadala citi dc open: martin damm vs ben shelton stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Ben Shelton in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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