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Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone

Five-platform snapshot of "Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 8.5 79% Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 Winner 75% Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone 63% Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 Winner 57% Volume: $92K Liquidity: $268K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 8.579%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 Winner75%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone63%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 Winner57%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 21.557%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 22.551%
Completed Match50%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 23.543%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.541%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Total Sets: O/U 2.539%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 10.531%
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.523%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 79% YES probability for Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone. This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Mariano Navone in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Be…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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