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Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena

Five-platform snapshot of "Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena 100% Completed Match 100% Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner 100% Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $157K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena100%
Completed Match100%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner100%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 2 Winner100%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 21.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 22.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 23.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, buenos aires 2: alex barrena vs facundo mena stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Facundo Mena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena on Kalshi Fees

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