Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners

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Market context

On 26 June 2026 at Seattle Stadium, Egypt and IR Iran played out a hard-fought 1–1 draw in their final FIFA World Cup Group G match, with Egypt taking an early lead through Mahmoud Saber before Iran equalised in the 14th minute[2][5]. The full-time whistle confirmed a stalemate that saw Egypt progress to the round of 32 while Iran awaited qualification results[1]. This outcome directly settles the "Total Corners" prediction market, where the current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES reflects the match’s settled nature rather than an active betting opportunity.

Historically, Group G matches involving Egypt and Iran have produced modest corner counts, with this fixture yielding only eight shots for Egypt and six for Iran, suggesting limited attacking pressure that typically correlates with fewer corner kicks[1]. Comparable Group Stage encounters in recent World Cups show that 1–1 draws often result in total corners below 10, reinforcing why the market’s 0% probability is logically consistent with the match’s defensive tempo[4]. For a power-user evaluating conditional order tools, this historical pattern frames the market as a low-utility case where programmatic entry would be redundant given the settled scoreline.

Traders should monitor post-match statistical releases from official FIFA data feeds, which confirm the final shot and corner tallies needed to validate settlement[7]. While no new announcements are pending, the immediate dependency is the official match report confirming whether any late corner attempts occurred after the 90th minute, as seen in Iran’s 88th-minute corner attempt that was won by an Egyptian defender[9]. Recent coverage from ESPN confirms the final score and shot distribution, providing the primary data source for verifying the market’s closure[1]. With the settlement window ending 27 June 2026 at 03:00 UTC, the market is now functionally inert for any further programmatic engagement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.