Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs JD Gaming (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs JD Gaming (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs JD Gaming (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-8.5) vs JD Gaming (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs JD Gaming (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-11.5) vs JD Gaming (+11.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-10.5) vs JD Gaming (+10.5) | 100% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) | 55% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Winner | 40% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 37% |
| Match Winner | 14% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: jd gaming vs fut esports (bo3) - vct champions group a stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between JD Gaming and FUT Esports in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will…
Methodology
We track Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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