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Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs JD Gaming (+5.5) 100% Volume: $433K Liquidity: $41K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs JD Gaming (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs JD Gaming (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs JD Gaming (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-8.5) vs JD Gaming (+8.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs JD Gaming (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-11.5) vs JD Gaming (+11.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-10.5) vs JD Gaming (+10.5)100%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)55%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Winner40%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Match Winner14%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: jd gaming vs fut esports (bo3) - vct champions group a stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between JD Gaming and FUT Esports in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

We track Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champ… on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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