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Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $210K Liquidity: $534K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)27%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs GIANTX (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs GIANTX (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%

Market context

GIANTX and Team Heretics are due to play a best-of-three in VCT EMEA Stage 2 Group Omega, with the fixture listed for Friday at 2:00 PM EDT and both teams shown on recent match pages as part of Week 3 group play.[2][6] For a market showing 0% YES, the practical read is that the price is treating the outcome as either fully unavailable to one side or already effectively settled elsewhere in the information stack, so a power-user would first verify whether the event page has updated, been moved, or been completed before relying on any trading signal.[2][6]

Recent comparable meetings point to Team Heretics being the stronger side overall, although the most recent listed head-to-head in January 2026 went to GIANTX 2-0.[7][8][10][17] Across the fuller recent series, Team Heretics have won more of the match-ups and hold the better aggregate head-to-head record, while bookmaker-style prices on match pages have generally favoured Heretics as well.[1][7][9][10][17] Programmatically, that means a model keyed to opponent strength and recent form would likely start Heretics as the baseline favourite, but it should still weight map volatility in a BO3 and avoid overfitting a single upset.

The main catalysts are operational rather than strategic: whether Riot, the league page, or the event tracker confirms the match is live, delayed, postponed, or forfeited, because those states decide whether the market resolves to a side or to 50-50 under the rules.[2][20] A bot or conditional-order workflow should therefore watch the official schedule status, live series state, and any bracket or server-side notices, then re-price only once the match has actually started or been conclusively abandoned; if the fixture slips beyond the seven-day window without a winner, the fallback outcome changes materially.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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