LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Solid faces RMD Gaming in a single-game League of Legends match for the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, originally slated for 7:00PM ET on 20 July. Historical data contradicts the current 100% crowd-implied probability for Team Solid; the team holds an 11% win rate across recent competitive matches with a 1–8 record[5]. In their actual head-to-head encounter on 31 March 2026, RMD Gaming defeated Team Solid 1–0, a result confirmed by live score trackers[1][3]. Strafe users previously favoured Team Solid with 88.8% of votes for this matchup, yet the on-field outcome favoured RMD Gaming, highlighting a recurring disconnect between community sentiment and competitive reality in this bracket[2].

Programmatic traders should monitor the settlement window ending 2026-07-21T04:30:00Z for cancellation flags or delay notifications exceeding seven days, which would force a 50–50 resolution. Current betting lines from BETTERY list RMD Gaming at 1.57 odds against Team Solid at 2.25, suggesting the market pricing aligns more closely with RMD’s historical dominance than the prediction market’s binary certainty[6]. Automated strategies must account for the BO1 format, where a single upset carries disproportionate weight, and verify match completion status to avoid false positives on partial-game scenarios. The dependency on the match starting and finishing within the window remains the primary catalyst for resolution, with no external roster announcements currently altering the competitive landscape.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.