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LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 62% Volume: $41K Liquidity: $149K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?62%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?51%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?48%
Game 1 Winner45%
Game 2 Winner45%
Match Winner44%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?41%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?32%
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)32%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?24%
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)21%

Market context

Market consensus: 65% chance of lol: natus vincere vs fnatic (bo3) - lec regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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