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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Live odds for "LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 85% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 85% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 59% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $240K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon85%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon85%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?59%
Match Winner56%
Game 1 Winner54%
Game 2 Winner54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?33%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)28%
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)24%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: movistar koi vs natus vincere (bo3) - lec regular season stands at 85% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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