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LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5) 87% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $600K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)87%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 2.5 Games14%
Game 1 Winner8%
Game 2 Winner8%
Match Winner4%

Market context

The LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 87% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between LUA Gaming and Team Heretics Academy in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LUA Gaming" if …

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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