LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

This market tracks the outcome of a League of Legends match between Kaufland Hangry Knights and Berlin International Gaming (BIG) in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, scheduled for 3:00PM ET on 1 July 2026. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% for a Hangry Knights win reflects a stark historical reality where BIG has dominated this pairing. In their last five recorded encounters, BIG has secured four victories while Hangry Knights has won none, with the most recent clash on 7 May 2026 ending in a 2–0 defeat for Hangry Knights[1]. Programmatic traders evaluating conditional orders would note that this 0% probability aligns with comparable cases in the Prime League where a top-tier team faces a lower-ranked opponent with a perfect recent win record, suggesting the market has already priced in a near-certain outcome rather than leaving room for a surprise upset[2].

A power-user monitoring this market programmatically should watch for immediate settlement confirmations and any official announcements regarding match cancellations or delays, as these are the only catalysts that could shift the resolution to the 50–50 default clause. Recent match data confirms the game has already commenced and concluded with a 0–1 scoreline favouring BIG, effectively resolving the market before the settlement window closes on 2 July 2026[1]. Traders relying on copy-trading bots or API feeds must verify the final score via official sources like Liquipedia, which recorded the 0–1 result for this specific fixture in the Prime League 2026 Summer tournament[5]. With the match already completed and the outcome determined, the primary dependency for any automated strategy is the confirmation of the result on the settlement platform, as no further in-game catalysts remain relevant to the resolution[8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.