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LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 61% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 51% Any Player Quadra Kill 51% Volume: $970K Liquidity: $514K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?61%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?46%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)44%
Game 2 Winner43%
First Blood in Game 2?27%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?26%
Match Winner22%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)5%
Game 1 Winner2%
First Blood in Game 1?1%

Market context

Market consensus: 61% chance of lol: g2 esports vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between G2 Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 16 at 9:50AM ET. This marke…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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