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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 3.5 Games 67% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 56% Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) 55% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $161K Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games67%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
First Blood in Game 4?49%
First Blood in Game 3?48%
Game 4 Winner42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?38%
Game 2 Winner37%
Game 1 Winner36%
Game 3 Winner36%
O/U 4.5 Games31%
Match Winner28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: edward gaming vs ninjas in pyjamas (bo5) - lpl knights rivals stands at 67% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Knights Rivals, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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