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LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 98% Odd/Even Total Kills 51% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 51% Volume: $362K Liquidity: $764K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?98%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

The LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Disguised and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised w…

Methodology

We track LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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