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LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Live odds for "LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 74% Game 1 Winner 67% Game 2 Winner 67% First Blood in Game 1? 67% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $869K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner74%
Game 1 Winner67%
Game 2 Winner67%
First Blood in Game 1?67%
Any Player Penta Kill65%
Any Player Quadra Kill64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?61%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?45%
O/U 2.5 Games43%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?42%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
Any Player Penta Kill17%
Any Player Penta Kill14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 74% probability to lol: cloud9 vs shopify rebellion (bo3) - lcs regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Clou…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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