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Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $402K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)79%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game 4 Winner22%
O/U 4.5 Games22%
Match Winner14%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-2.5) vs Spirit Academy (+2.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: TS.A (-2.5) vs Level UP (+2.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: spirit academy vs level up (bo5) - asgard championship playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Spirit Academy and Level UP in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 11:00AM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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