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Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 75% Game 2 Winner 53% Game Handicap: NH (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) 53% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $118K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner75%
Game 2 Winner53%
Game Handicap: NH (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)53%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs No Hoodwink (+1.5)1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: no hoodwink vs puckchamp (bo3) - epl masters group b. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between No Hoodwink and PuckChamp in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 28 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hood…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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