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Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs RE.Arise (+1.5) 100% Volume: $83K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs RE.Arise (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Level UP’s best-of-three against RE.Arise in EPL Masters Group B is the kind of Dota 2 market where a 100% crowd-implied price should be treated as a scheduling signal, not a forecast of map quality. For a programmatic workflow, the first step is to verify whether the event is actually live or completed, because this market only settles on a team winner if the series is played to completion; a cancellation, no-show, or delay beyond seven days pushes it to 50-50 under the rules. Live match pages show the series listed for 6 August at 09:00 UTC, with multiple match trackers marking it as an upcoming BO3 in Group B.[2][7][9]

Comparable form data points towards Level UP being the more established side in recent play. One preview lists Level UP on a 73% recent win rate and a 2-0 projection, while another notes an undefeated 4-0 map record in the group stage and a 2-0 series mark; RE.Arise is shown as competitive but with more losses, including a 2-1 series and 4-2 map record in one market overview.[1][4] Strafe and GosuGamers also place Level UP higher in ranking and give them the market edge, while one historical note says the teams have split their last two meetings with the current rosters.[8][9][17]

The key catalysts are operational rather than stylistic: check for roster confirmation, start-time changes, and whether the match page flips from upcoming to live before settling logic is applied. If a bot or conditional order is being used, it should watch the tournament feed for walkovers or technical forfeits, since those outcomes can override on-server results; recent listings already show one RE.Arise technical-forfeit result elsewhere in the same tournament context, which is relevant because admin decisions can materially affect resolution paths.[13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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