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Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Volume: $302K Liquidity: $601K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)0%

Market context

WW Team and ex-RUSTEC are set for a best-of-three Round of 16 in the CCT Europe Series #6 playoffs, a single-elimination bracket where every map matters because there is no room for recovery after a bad start. The market’s 0% YES price is the kind of read that often appears when one side is treated as a near-certain favourite by the crowd, but the underlying event is still a live bo3 in an online playoff environment where map vetoes and late lineup news can matter more than the headline ranking gap.[1][4][6]

Historically, this is the sort of spot where traders should compare the market price against recent form rather than name recognition alone. WW Team are listed as the higher-ranked side and have been described as having consistent recent European results, while ex-RUSTEC arrive on a three-match win streak with strong map performances in prior CCT stages, which is enough to justify caution if the match is priced as effectively decided before the first map starts.[1][7][10] For programmatic approaches, the cleanest framing is to treat the 0% YES line as a screening signal: check whether your model would still price a WW win materially above zero once roster, veto, and opponent-strength inputs are updated.

The main catalysts are operational, not structural: official start-time changes, server delays, roster substitutions, and whether the series actually begins before the settlement window closes. Liquipedia and tournament listings place the playoff round around 6 August with all matches played as bo3, but some match directories show slightly different local times, which is the kind of discrepancy a bot or alerting script should monitor before placing conditional orders or copying into a live book.[3][4][6][10] If the match is delayed, abandoned, or not completed in a way that produces a winner, the market’s fallback rules become the key event, so any automation should watch for the first live map state rather than relying only on scheduled start times.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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